Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $3.39K
- User PnL
- -$1.7K
Polymarket Trader
ElaraVasiliev
@VikashK21866333
0xd5527c2bdf2bc4855b4b55b6aabe3b308371ec26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.72
- Realized PnL
- $575.88
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.72
- Potential payout
- $20.72
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Radcliffe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Rockets position
Hornets vs. Rockets
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.64
- Potential profit
- $16.64
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 9, 11AM ET
Ends Nov 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $564.08
No position
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.6
Yes position
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Celtic win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will PF win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will SER hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown 50.9% 51.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown 50% 20.72 shares
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 40% 5 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95% 5 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 95.3% 5 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 92% 5 shares
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 94% 5 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 95.6% 5 shares
- Hornets vs. RocketsRockets 59% 16.64 shares
- Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $235-$240 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 12 – Jan 16?Yes 65% 15.82 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 90% 1.11 shares
- Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No 99.9% 10.17 shares