Polymarket Trader

slmndr

0xd5707ff4ff6476f0ea344a46770c84b4436fb90a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.34
Realized PnL: $2.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$278.5

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$126.3

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$76

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$26.4

Yes position

Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.97
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$31.87

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Constituent" or "Constituency" during the next PMQ?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $6.32
Potential payout: $11.92
Potential profit: $5.6
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $1.91

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.71

Yes position

Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $198

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.69

Yes position

Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.85

Yes position

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.87

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $109.6

No position

Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.46

No position

Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95

No position

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.65

No position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.11

No position

Will Trump say "Kristi" or "Noem" during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74

No position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.5

Avalanche position

Devils vs. Avalanche

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.64

No position

Will Trump say "Hottest Nation" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (February 15)

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.46

No position

Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.24

No position

Will Trump say "What's Up" this week? (March 22)

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 36% 84.35 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?

Yes 36.1% 165.65 shares
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?

Yes 0.4% 54.55 shares
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?

No 3% 79.99 shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 12% 599.99 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

No 83.5% 112 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?

No 83.9% 85.28 shares
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?

No 78.8% 25 shares
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

No 80% 0.24 shares
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

No 73% 7.36 shares
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?

No 73% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 81% 12 shares