Polymarket Trader

inrock30

0xd576b9ee74c58fcb913675fd9c1d14c85312d5e3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $121.76K
Realized PnL: $296.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $7.55K
Potential payout: $79.5K
Potential profit: $71.95K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$16.96K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $45.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $4.75K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.05K

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $49.17K
Potential payout: $49.54K
Potential profit: $371.59
User PnL: $6.29K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.86K
Potential profit: $33.86K
User PnL: -$25.15K

No position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $19.74K
Potential payout: $22.82K
Potential profit: $3.08K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.2K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $14.59
Potential payout: $5.84K
Potential profit: $5.82K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.07K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.44K
Potential profit: $3.44K
User PnL: -$1.45K

Yes position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$608.97

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $24.27
Potential payout: $179.79
Potential profit: $155.52
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$15.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.48K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.65K

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.34K

Yes position

Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.91K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.15K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.26K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.56K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.96K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.88K

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.71K

No position

Netanyahu out by 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.59K

No position

Iran Nuke in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.37K

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.32K

Yes position

Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.98K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.55K

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 1.9% 127.59 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 12% 2,276 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 1,181.87 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 13% 4,033.8 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 36,836.1 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 12% 5,642.76 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 9,232.61 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 12,277.47 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 11% 3,445.86 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 11% 43,578 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 85% 175.75 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 80% 465.63 shares