Polymarket Trader

mbmoffat

0xd57b45f7a8827a5e902864369e53a980280c53c9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $34.53
Realized PnL: $204.83
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $51.95
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.91
Potential profit: $36.91
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $25.03
Potential payout: $25.63
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $690b on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.7

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.45

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.89

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.83

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.24

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.34

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.02

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.93

Yes position

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.88

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.24

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 59.2%
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$8.18

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?

Yes 10% 100 shares
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?

Yes 78% 25.63 shares
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 28.3% 60.6 shares
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Yes 44% 39.21 shares
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?

Yes 33% 60.61 shares
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Yes 51% 39.22 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 42.3% 212.76 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 99.8% 148.72 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 55% 26.4 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57.7% 51.95 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 23.5% 212.77 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 81.7% 122.32 shares