Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $66.89
- Potential payout
- $77.78
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Polymarket Trader
ShadowPawnshop
0xd589865255c798c3268b6fe9f9f401f16d9825de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $66.89
- Realized PnL
- $34.31
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.16
- Potential profit
- $21.16
- User PnL
- -$1
Heat position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.42
- Potential profit
- $4.42
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Stray Kids: The dominATE Experience be the highest grossing movie this weekend?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Nuggets position
Warriors vs. Nuggets
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Clippers position
Clippers vs. Bucks
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 77.78 shares
- Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5Over 65% 76.92 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99% 53.07 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94.2% 53.08 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 7?Yes 99.8% 14.03 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 7?Yes 87% 11.49 shares
- Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7?Yes 4.7% 21.16 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No 95.3% 26.2 shares
- Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?No 95.4% 26.21 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.1% 26.39 shares
- Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?No 98.5% 26.4 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?Yes 98.3% 26.37 shares