Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $18.97
- Potential payout
- $23.28
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.58
Polymarket Trader
0xd58b...381e
0xd58b85971f28b22f9c1b00877d89b1c1e1e5381e
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $44.53
- Realized PnL
- $197.74
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17.61
- Potential payout
- $17.62
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $9.76
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.41
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.58
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Vitality position
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.79
Yes position
Will Vitality win IEM Rio 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $1.87
No position
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $1.39
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.93x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 10.82 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 6.23 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 79% 6.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.4% 5.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.02 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.05 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 1.2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.03 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.02 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.3% 0.03 shares