No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $132.76
- Potential payout
- $88.51K
- Potential profit
- $88.38K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$567.16
Polymarket Trader
thebloodangel
0xd5906fdc94052db6949963748e2728b740415eee
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.42K
- Realized PnL
- $31.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $27.23
- Potential payout
- $18.16K
- Potential profit
- $18.13K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.27K
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $114.81
- Potential payout
- $14.35K
- Potential profit
- $14.24K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$285.18
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.1K
- Potential profit
- $10.1K
- User PnL
- -$20.2
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $71.93
- Potential payout
- $9.59K
- Potential profit
- $9.52K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$225.37
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.07K
- Potential profit
- $8.07K
- User PnL
- -$2.57K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $8.04K
- Potential profit
- $8.02K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$287.94
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.21K
- Potential profit
- $5.21K
- User PnL
- -$3K
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.3%
- Current value
- $473.21
- Potential payout
- $5.12K
- Potential profit
- $4.64K
- Multiplier
- 10.81x
- User PnL
- -$26.79
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $444.88
- Potential payout
- $4.68K
- Potential profit
- $4.24K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$55.12
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $36.43
- Potential payout
- $4.29K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$263.57
No position
Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $326.71
- Potential payout
- $2.18K
- Potential profit
- $1.85K
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$143.29
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $500
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- -$520
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $291.55
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $530.61
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$1.28K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$430
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $566.99
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $986.41
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $53.77
- Potential payout
- $1.38K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- -$56.23
No position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $123.64
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$96.36
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.25K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.93K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Noel Thomas win the 2026 Galway West by-election?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $861.27
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $853.66
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.83
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $800.55
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $747.03
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 54%
- Multiplier
- 1.85x
- User PnL
- $652.9
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $462.8
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399.96
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $318.07
No position
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.01
No position
Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $291.24
LGD Gaming position
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $235.53
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.7
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.8
No position
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.4
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 50,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 33,333.33 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 20.2% 439.7 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 20.4% 4,284.96 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 3.9% 5,175.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 3.7% 8,036.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 8% 6,250 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 58.6% 10,239.83 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?No 65.3% 3,062.25 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 35.1% 5,488.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 48% 1,666.67 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No 30.3% 1,648.65 shares