Polymarket Trader

olias

0xd59b88ab8ce0df959fa69cf299be38404b463ce2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.12K
Realized PnL: -$139.74
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $120.45
Potential payout: $4.55K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $20.46

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $66.11
Potential payout: $925.93
Potential profit: $859.81
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$33.89

No position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $677.03
Potential payout: $810.81
Potential profit: $133.78
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $77.03

Yes position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $641.03
Potential profit: $641.03
User PnL: -$250

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $252.86
Potential payout: $594.97
Potential profit: $342.11
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $52.86

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $212.77
Potential profit: $212.77
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $4.26
Potential payout: $106.54
Potential profit: $102.28
Multiplier: 25.00x
User PnL: -$45.74

Karmine Corp position

LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $91.54

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.46

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.22

Natus Vincere position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.29

No position

Will Natus Vincere win ESL Pro League Season 23?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$13.97

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

BNK FEARX position

LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$34.47

Yes position

Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$35.6

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$99.65

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 47% 212.77 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

No 33.6% 594.97 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 74% 810.81 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 98.3% 550.63 shares
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Yes 46.9% 106.54 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 96% 166.66 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs

FURIA 60% 166.67 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 0.2% 172.77 shares
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Yes 39% 641.03 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 81.7% 550.63 shares
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.2% 4,545.45 shares