No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $117
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $33
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $38.75
Polymarket Trader
M4rch1
0xd59bd32b1e2b753b0d18e5af38e2e99993d5d1ac
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $380.67
- Realized PnL
- $1.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $129
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $21.75
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $14.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $85.5
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $56
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $44.42
- Potential payout
- $57.28
- Potential profit
- $12.86
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $25.34
Yes position
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $31.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $18.25
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Pump.fun revenue above $25M in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
Yes position
Will muddyrc win the Genesis Cup?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.78
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $143.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.86
Yes position
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-11-25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.57
Yes position
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.25
Yes position
Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.53
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40
No position
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.66
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.8
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.14
No position
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.99
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Dec 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 56% 100 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?No 85% 100 shares
- Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes 1% 2,154.61 shares
- Will 'Arc Raiders' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes 49.9% 2,004.62 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 27% 100 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes 29% 100 shares
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No 96% 729.17 shares
- Will Battlefield 6 win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes 20.5% 20 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No 8% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETUp 48% 100 shares
- Will muddyrc win the Genesis Cup?Yes 15% 333.33 shares
- Will muddyrc win the Genesis Cup?Yes 15% 200 shares