No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Polymarket Trader
byreallifeayo
0xd5ae610a20460abcd81d94f17a4e57c3637377c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $2.46
- Win rate
- 47.6%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Rumble buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Rumble buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Multiplier
- 27.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No 82% 49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.8% 11.09 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 2.7% 72 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?No 85% 48 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 16% 10 shares
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 91.2% 44 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 39 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.6% 39 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.8% 23 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.8% 23 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.9% 13 shares
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No 93.8% 33 shares