Polymarket Trader

qifeilo

0xd5b0120ae5e573630a390571287f5c6f482bf655

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $463.68
Realized PnL: $1.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $177
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $423
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$5

No position

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $594.41
Potential profit: $594.41
User PnL: -$39.9

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $7.71
Potential payout: $571.43
Potential profit: $563.71
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$59.2

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $259.73
Potential payout: $348.64
Potential profit: $88.9
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $59.73

Arizona Diamondbacks position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $284.44
Potential profit: $284.44
User PnL: -$128

Yes position

Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$38

No position

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Milwaukee Brewers position

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $19.23
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $134.62
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$51

Toronto Blue Jays position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.74
Potential profit: $96.74
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.9

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.47

San Francisco Giants position

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $113.45

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.01

Yes position

Will $TRUMP hit $50B FDV by noon on inauguration day?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.5

No position

Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $72

Over position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.84

Yes position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $57

Over position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.11

San Diego Padres position

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.37

Los Angeles Angels position

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.17

No position

Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.5

No position

Will courts block Trump's D.C. takeover by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37

No position

Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 in December?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Over position

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28

No position

Bitcoin above $97,000 on December 27?

Ends Dec 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26

No position

Kash Patel out by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

No position

Maduro visits the U.S. by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

Yes position

Will Trump issue an executive order on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.35

Illinois Fighting Illini position

VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.82

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 1, 2026?

No 57.4% 348.64 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 42% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 9.3% 250 shares
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Yes 30% 16.67 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 39% 51.28 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 31% 200 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 86% 34.88 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes 13% 153.85 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 8% 250 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 571.43 shares