Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $251.34
- Potential payout
- $708
- Potential profit
- $456.66
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $130.98
Polymarket Trader
darwinpro
0xd5b16277a1151b7a72f25e5bc4a4b4e920147754
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $394.99
- Realized PnL
- $2.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $139.84
- Potential payout
- $304
- Potential profit
- $164.16
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$88.16
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.1
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $0.92
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will fewer than 2 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $372.62
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346
No position
Will Trump say "Thune" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.51
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.68
Penn State Nittany Lions position
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Akron Zips
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $225.62
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 2,100,000 and 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.59
No position
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $157.82
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.56
Over position
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.26
No position
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $74.36
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.84
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.8
No position
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.82
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drone" this week? (February 22)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.39
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.05
Yes position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.88
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- $17.32
Yes position
Glean IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $17.13
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $14.01
No position
Will Justin Trudeau be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.12
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.64
Yes position
Will Landman win Best Ensemble in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?No 40.4% 607 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 80.8% 753 shares
- Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?No 88.8% 753 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?No 69.7% 607 shares
- Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?Yes 59% 348 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?No 26% 127 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?No 16% 74 shares
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No 23% 788 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 15, 2026?No 67% 201 shares
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No 75% 1,092 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 58% 332 shares
- Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo 58% 969 shares