Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $1.89K
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- User PnL
- $89.69
Polymarket Trader
RewardsNinja
0xd5beaefade3d43c861d9031387c265cd709e0e42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.34K
- Realized PnL
- $3.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $710.14
- Potential payout
- $725
- Potential profit
- $14.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $32.24
No position
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $416.4
- Potential payout
- $475.88
- Potential profit
- $59.49
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $45.21
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $291.84
- Potential payout
- $312.13
- Potential profit
- $20.29
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $24.29
No position
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Current value
- $242.98
- Potential payout
- $285.35
- Potential profit
- $42.37
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $282.82
- Potential payout
- $283.96
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- User PnL
- $9.37
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $36.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $213.75
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$131.25
No position
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $237.13
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $12.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.38
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $221.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $28.75
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $178.37
- Potential payout
- $186.78
- Potential profit
- $8.41
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $150.38
- Potential payout
- $160.83
- Potential profit
- $10.45
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $123.38
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.1
- Potential profit
- $104.1
- User PnL
- -$18.74
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88.68
- Potential profit
- $88.68
- User PnL
- -$85.84
No position
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $61.5
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Toy Story 5 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $68.13
- Potential payout
- $69.13
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.54
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $63.4
- Potential payout
- $64.73
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $62.84
- Potential payout
- $64.22
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $55.63
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $6.88
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $56.79
- Potential payout
- $60.1
- Potential profit
- $3.31
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $55
- Potential payout
- $57.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $52.36
- Potential payout
- $56
- Potential profit
- $3.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will Hunter Biden announce a Delaware Senate run by July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $53.93
- Potential payout
- $54.28
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $34.59
- Potential payout
- $34.9
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $574.13
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $303.61
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.49
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.25
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.09
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.67
No position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.77
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.61
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.35
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.08
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.54
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.22
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.96
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.28
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.49
No position
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.19
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.57
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.57
Volkanovski position
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.39
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.63
Alcaraz position
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.09
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 91% 32.5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 91% 30 shares
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles AngelsBoston Red Sox 98% 43.37 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 98.6% 13.26 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 97.1% 100 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 95.7% 90 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No 98.4% 51.47 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No 98.6% 125 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 97.2% 125 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 89% 250 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?No 91.1% 250 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.7% 56.25 shares