N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
alalala2
0xd5c38023866a4a5ed35810a331bb6347814898ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $6.54
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.15
- Potential profit
- $227.15
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.55
- Potential profit
- $45.55
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.27
- Potential profit
- $20.27
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.62
- Potential profit
- $13.62
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.22
- Potential profit
- $8.22
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.03
- Potential profit
- $5.03
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will Reform UK win control of the most London borough councils?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?Yes 0.2% 76.92 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Yes 0.2% 142.85 shares
- Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by June 30?Yes 1.9% 5.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.2% 250 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 0.3% 200 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?Yes 15% 4.16 shares
- John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by July 31?Yes 10% 4.16 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 5.6% 13.15 shares
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?Yes 1.3% 50.5 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes 8% 10 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes 5% 16.66 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 21% 4.34 shares