No position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $167.9
- Potential payout
- $168.66
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
lSO709
@WilliamLog50102
0xd5ca34876af4b65b1bfb0c298b3af85d228208f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $991.36
- Realized PnL
- $244.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $111.93
- Potential payout
- $112.32
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $112.04
- Potential payout
- $112.32
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $112.04
- Potential payout
- $112.32
- Potential profit
- $0.28
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $111.44
- Potential payout
- $112.28
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $68.5
- Potential payout
- $86.22
- Potential profit
- $17.72
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$15.51
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $84.03
- Potential payout
- $84.33
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $83.95
- Potential payout
- $84.33
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $56.02
- Potential payout
- $56.22
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $28.04
- Potential payout
- $28.11
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $28.01
- Potential payout
- $28.11
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Corey Seager win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?
Ends Nov 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $27.45
- Potential payout
- $28.11
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.93
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.78
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.92
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.08
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
No position
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.27
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.2% 29.41 shares
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates 52% 1 shares
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesChicago Cubs 47% 1 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 41% 4.76 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 3.4% 29.41 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 42% 4.76 shares
- Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?No 99.4% 112.68 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 2000+ tweets in May 2026?No 99.9% 28.06 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.5% 28.15 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.2% 84.61 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 99.6% 2.04 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?No 98.2% 56.88 shares