No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $953.6
Polymarket Trader
tsybka
@tsybka
0xd5ccdf772f795547e299de57f47966e24de8dea4
Verified Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $76.96K
- Realized PnL
- $187.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $29.08K
- Potential payout
- $30.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $840.89
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $44.97
Yes position
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $402.23
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $603.34
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- $139.09
No position
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $394.46
- Potential payout
- $502.5
- Potential profit
- $108.04
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $92.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $34.14K
Yes position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.07K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.7K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.85K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57K
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.61K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.24K
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4K
No position
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.96K
Usyk position
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
Yes position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42K
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 1% 12.5 shares
- Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?Yes 32.2% 93.19 shares
- Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 1.3% 28.84 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 1.5% 6.02 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 3.7% 726.97 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 17.8% 12 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 20.8% 4.81 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 20.8% 4.81 shares
- Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 20.9% 4.79 shares
- Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 17.8% 12 shares
- Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?Yes 17.8% 5.61 shares