Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.11
Polymarket Trader
penelope-rerum
0xd5cfbecfc0bf86c5594219038bb305a848a89fe8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $82.47
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 10PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57
No position
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
No position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Karen Khachanov be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Newcastle United finish first in UCL league phase?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Tether insolvent in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 99.7% 4 shares
- Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 99.8% 4 shares
- Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 99.7% 2 shares
- Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 99.8% 2 shares
- Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?No 99.3% 845.46 shares
- Will Tynan Lawrence be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft?No 99.4% 855.83 shares
- Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?No 99.6% 771.78 shares
- Will Switzerland be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?No 99.4% 866.68 shares
- Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?No 99.1% 757.21 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?No 99.3% 802.7 shares
- Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?No 99.4% 897.51 shares
- Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 99.5% 881.65 shares