Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $323.03
- Potential payout
- $571.84
- Potential profit
- $248.81
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $72.41
Polymarket Trader
AlexS.
0xd5d471cf3848c7f94bd88516c0fb85c910ecf720
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $947.78
- Realized PnL
- $5.67
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $66
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $234
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$14.67
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $225
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$92.5
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.98
- Potential payout
- $211.21
- Potential profit
- $202.23
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $114.01
- Potential payout
- $130.3
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $14.01
No position
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $121.76
- Potential payout
- $122
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- User PnL
- $21.72
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $107.74
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $107.74
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $11.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $3.72
- Potential payout
- $114.32
- Potential profit
- $110.6
- Multiplier
- 30.77x
- User PnL
- -$6.28
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $104.17
- Potential profit
- $104.17
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $3.07
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $38.93
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $10.6
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $29.4
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.06
- Multiplier
- 20.62x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $35.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $35.09
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.1%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $26.94
- Multiplier
- 7.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $27.11
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Y
Yes position
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $8.68
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $20.74
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $27.62
- Potential profit
- $21.28
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.6%
- Current value
- $16.71
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.69
- Potential profit
- $18.69
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $10.67
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.12
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
No position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
SOL position
Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.31
Yes position
Will Ecuadorian drug lord Fito remain at large throughout January?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will Solana Network go down in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20?
Ends Jan 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15?
Ends Jan 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Khamenei seen in public by March 2?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.2
+placed+on+a+vibrant+green+arrow+that's+shooting+upwards%2C+symbolizing+the+rapid+growth+and+bullis.webp)
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.11
Yes position
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
AWS service disrupted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$30.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?Yes 34% 29.41 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 26.9% 300 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 75.6% 350.12 shares
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes 53.5% 18.69 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.8% 86.21 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.1% 31 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 84.5% 12 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 67% 29.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 67% 59.7 shares
- Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?No 46.9% 10.66 shares
- Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?Yes 48% 104.17 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 72% 69.44 shares