Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $59.89
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$70.1
Polymarket Trader
Greed.
0xd5d75539d4914aadfafd042c10141e5f45e44952
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.35K
- Realized PnL
- $10.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $115.59
- Potential payout
- $745.73
- Potential profit
- $630.14
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$114.41
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $366.95
- Potential payout
- $577.87
- Potential profit
- $210.92
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $16.95
No position
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $542.51
- Potential payout
- $571.06
- Potential profit
- $28.55
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $19.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $346.12
- Potential payout
- $498.08
- Potential profit
- $151.96
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- $16.12
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $487.62
- Potential payout
- $496.05
- Potential profit
- $8.43
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.62
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $410.09
- Potential payout
- $448.19
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $97.06
- Potential payout
- $431.39
- Potential profit
- $334.33
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $129.76
- Potential payout
- $399.25
- Potential profit
- $269.5
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.49
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $392.28
- Potential payout
- $394.45
- Potential profit
- $2.17
- User PnL
- $16.27
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $383.87
- Potential payout
- $386.19
- Potential profit
- $2.32
- User PnL
- $51.88
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $369.31
- Potential payout
- $370.42
- Potential profit
- $1.11
- User PnL
- $39.31
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.1%
- Current value
- $284.82
- Potential payout
- $369.65
- Potential profit
- $84.84
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $7.72
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $260.22
- Potential payout
- $366.51
- Potential profit
- $106.29
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $313.71
- Potential payout
- $342.86
- Potential profit
- $29.14
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $299.54
- Potential payout
- $304.41
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $225.66
- Potential payout
- $229.21
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $5.65
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $90.96
- Potential payout
- $114.41
- Potential profit
- $23.45
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $21.29
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $107.21
- Potential payout
- $109.46
- Potential profit
- $2.24
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $7.21
Mbappe position
World Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.4%
- Current value
- $30.86
- Potential payout
- $33.77
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $20.92
- Potential payout
- $21.05
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $11.81
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $936.43
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $934.45
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $646.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $512.9
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $472.02
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $421.72
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $371.75
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $355.44
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.37
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $336.68
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.13
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $326.74
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.78
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.15
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.49
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.01
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.46
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.87
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.98
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $166.43
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 23.2% 431.39 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 87% 57.5 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 87% 114.94 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 21, 2026?No 87.9% 113.76 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 14% 142.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 3% 1,016.04 shares
- Will Bilibili Gaming make a roster change before July?Yes 35.8% 279.13 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 13.1% 912.1 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 18.9% 528.62 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 103.21 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 74.2% 269.65 shares