Yes position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.53K
- Potential profit
- $22.53K
- User PnL
- -$5.95K
Polymarket Trader
caishiopt
0xd5dc16a421717a6e2499818b76a76880874ad1df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $599.03
- Realized PnL
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $548.04
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $59.72
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.02K
- User PnL
- -$110
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$77
Yes position
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$55
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $779.93
- Potential profit
- $779.93
- User PnL
- -$58.84
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $48.52
- Potential payout
- $462.12
- Potential profit
- $413.6
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $18.4
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240.7
- Potential profit
- $240.7
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $161.19
- Potential profit
- $161.19
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.18
- Potential profit
- $140.18
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
North Korea missile test by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.26
- Potential profit
- $99.26
- User PnL
- -$35
Tate position
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Ends Dec 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $59.52
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.38
- Potential profit
- $52.38
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $36
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.46
- Potential payout
- $14.08
- Potential profit
- $11.62
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$7.54
Yes position
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.85
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $324.33
No position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $300.57
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.34
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $141.77
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.72
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $107.18
Yes position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.36
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.1
Yes position
Will Travis Scott respond to Pusha T dissing him by July 20th?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.87
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.41
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.94
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.29
No position
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 15% 1,333.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Yes 15% 333.33 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 55.9% 1,606.05 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 1.7% 588.24 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?No 77% 64.94 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?No 94% 10.64 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?Yes 23% 304.35 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?Yes 12% 36 shares
- Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?No 88% 56.82 shares
- Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?No 98.4% 50.81 shares