0xd5e3226B2D399B64063c3659ac93a670cbb6e379-1774853682065

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $7.27K
Potential payout: $7.32K
Potential profit: $47.58
User PnL: $16.6

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $22.5
User PnL: $527.5

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $4.98K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $95

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.6%
Current value: $4.68K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $322.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $12.5

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $3.59K
Potential profit: $8.98
User PnL: $71.65

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $2.99K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $72

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.49K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: $29

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $9
User PnL: $111

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $3
User PnL: $27

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $11
User PnL: $47

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $1.93K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $71
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$27

No position

Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.3K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $195
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $25

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $3.91
User PnL: $101.95

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $6.92
User PnL: $71.39

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$809.5

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $993
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $7
User PnL: $44

No position

Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?

Implied probability: 92.6%
Current value: $925.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $74.5
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$69.4

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $976.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $23.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $995.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $4.5
User PnL: $45.5

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$979

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $952
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $48
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $992.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $7.5
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?

Implied probability: 78.9%
Current value: $788.99
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $211
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $839.99

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $837

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $691.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $411.01

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $334

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.48

No position

Will Solana dip to $60 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.51

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $210.55

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.91

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.3

No position

Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.41

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Will Solana dip to $70 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.75

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.23

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.96

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.16

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.5

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.65

No position

Will Solana dip to $70 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.3

Yes position

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.32

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.99

No position

Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?