Polymarket Trader

0xd5F1a758755e149CCa18705d6F3b2d062978aCBd-1772134886370

0xd5f1a758755e149cca18705d6f3b2d062978acbd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $149.16
Realized PnL: $128.75
Win rate: 53.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2.58K
User PnL: -$8.06

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $791.6
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$12.4

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $730
Potential profit: $728.18
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$3.29

Yes position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $14.85
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $285.15
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $3.45

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $240.13
Potential profit: $240.13
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.8%
Current value: $14.35
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $170.83
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: -$5.65

Yes position

Will Senegal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $3.97
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $126.04
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$4.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.85
Potential profit: $112.85
User PnL: -$44.96

Flavio Cobolli position

Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $40.5
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $59.5
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.57
Potential profit: $78.57
User PnL: -$22

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $40.98
Potential payout: $67.18
Potential profit: $26.2
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$9.02

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$8.12

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.64
Potential profit: $63.64
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $59.99
User PnL: -$10.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.7
Potential profit: $58.7
User PnL: -$9.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.9
Potential profit: $55.9
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $13.7
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $29.78
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$6.3

No position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $42.86
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $33.1
Potential profit: $22.51
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.66
Potential profit: $30.66
User PnL: -$9.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.21

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.17

Over 2.5 position

Joao Fonseca vs. Ben Shelton: Total Sets O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.23

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Under 51% 5.88 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 26.32 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

No 11% 63.64 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 74.4% 67.18 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

No 35% 42.86 shares
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score

Yes 62% 24.19 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 57% 61.4 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.8% 185.19 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 94.8% 77.19 shares
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

No 28% 78.57 shares