Polymarket Trader

Labas.As.Tomas

0xd5f63f5e71530b66e907cce43124a7879f707d33

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $205.3
Realized PnL: $11.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $15K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.58K
Potential profit: $11.58K
User PnL: -$24.71

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.65K
Potential profit: $7.65K
User PnL: -$167.34

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.74K
Potential profit: $4.74K
User PnL: -$124.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.63K
Potential profit: $4.63K
User PnL: -$86.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.52K
Potential profit: $3.52K
User PnL: -$36.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$5.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$23.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.94K
User PnL: -$69.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.92K
User PnL: -$21.08

Yes position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$27.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.79K
User PnL: -$107.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.76K
Potential profit: $1.76K
User PnL: -$24.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$67.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.68K
User PnL: -$19.18

Yes position

GTA VI released before November 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $188.6
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $1.45K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $90.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$36.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$22.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.7
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.45

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $583.77

Up position

XRP Up or Down - September 19, 10PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $524.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $443.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $423.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $391.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $389.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12PM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295.95

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $290.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $277.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $276.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?

Ends Nov 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $173.13

Up position

Solana Up or Down - September 21, 6PM ET

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $164.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.63

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GTA VI released before November 2026?

Yes 6% 840.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 5?

Yes 1.3% 110.1 shares
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 1,971.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 1,092.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 974.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 1,259.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 1,916.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 1,396.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 1,522.6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 2.4% 1,540.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Yes 4% 1,683.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 826.8 shares