Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
8auk6WK
0xd6222e6e84a12099dd0fe604e27764750aaddee0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $637.2
- Realized PnL
- $168.38
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $142.2
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$107.8
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $910.86
- Potential profit
- $910.86
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $621.79
- Potential profit
- $621.79
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $495
- Potential payout
- $611.12
- Potential profit
- $116.11
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $524.15
- Potential profit
- $524.15
- User PnL
- -$270
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.12
Yes position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.06
No position
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.49
No position
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.52
No position
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Solana above $190 on February 14?
Ends Feb 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.74
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.11
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$42.66
No position
Will xAI have a #1 AI model this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes 90.7% 220.49 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 17.2% 156.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 11.4% 345.21 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 32% 156.25 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?No 14.5% 345.21 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 95% 395.58 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,396.94 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 30.3% 231.23 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?Yes 3.6% 1,396.94 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.8% 1,332.78 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 84.2% 237.44 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 68.3% 292.92 shares