Polymarket Trader

Playpool

@Aostinsantos

0xd6280c12247e5ca01e17f1097f25384e6ac7a698

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $496.61
Realized PnL: $2.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $184.71
Potential payout: $228.04
Potential profit: $43.33
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$7.29

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $147.41
Potential payout: $172.41
Potential profit: $25
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$2.59

No position

Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $54.77
Potential payout: $58.64
Potential profit: $3.87
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $30.23
Potential payout: $31.33
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $19.97
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $3.51
Potential payout: $6.94
Potential profit: $3.44
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $6.85
Potential profit: $2.09
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: -$0.24

Under position

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $6.13
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.8%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5.46
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 87.9%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $5.34
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.31

No position

Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $5.01
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.11
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $3.45
Potential payout: $3.52
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $0.99
Potential payout: $1.03
Potential profit: $0.05
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: -$0

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $316.93

San Francisco Giants position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $239.42

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.68

Under position

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.19

Under position

Real Salt Lake vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.19

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.33

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $113K on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.33

No position

Will NEC win on 2026-04-19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.4

No position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69.39

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.83

No position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $62.56

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.29

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.6

No position

US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

No position

US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.26

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.45

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.31

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.7

No position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.18

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.11

Under position

CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.78

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

Under 97% 6.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 99.9% 5.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 23?

No 96.9% 1.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 23?

No 99.4% 1.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 23?

No 99.3% 1.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on June 22?

No 99.9% 5.05 shares
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 22?

No 99.9% 15.85 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?

Yes 96.1% 1.26 shares
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

No 93% 11.83 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

No 20.7% 33.81 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 23?

Yes 79% 1.27 shares
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 6.5

Under 99.9% 3.49 shares