Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $3.23K
- Potential payout
- $58.8K
- Potential profit
- $55.57K
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$6.73K
Polymarket Trader
0xD62840CF26Fab216a46C5c9e9920487098e243c1-1761619024616
0xd62840cf26fab216a46c5c9e9920487098e243c1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.68K
- Realized PnL
- $84.24K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.5K
- Potential profit
- $26.5K
- User PnL
- -$403.38
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $438.69
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $4.18K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.58K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $71.45
- Potential profit
- $68.24
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.93
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $5.06
- Potential profit
- $4.8
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.15K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.65K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.74K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.19K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $3.71K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.97K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 October 27-November 2?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $925.53
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $773.49
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $729.6
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $692.66
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $666
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 95.7% 2,409.69 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No 85% 2,800 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?No 84% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 29% 6,500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 60% 731.04 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No 96.9% 2,500 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No 13.8% 323.75 shares
- Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?No 98.7% 2,203.55 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 94.2% 2,009.16 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No 0.4% 15,929.77 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes 0.4% 24,999.96 shares
- Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No 7.1% 218.44 shares