Polymarket Trader

cfbnd

0xd6378941a4038415fbbb597252ab62e90c43be9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.05K
Realized PnL: $8.08K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$1.04K

Yes position

Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$620.27

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $174
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$521.25

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Clippers

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $974.5
Potential profit: $974.5
User PnL: -$146.17

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$202.5

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.9%
Current value: $371.1
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $228.9
Multiplier: 1.62x
User PnL: $122.1

No position

Will Jeremiyah Love go top 10 in the 2026 Pro Football draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500.29
Potential profit: $500.29
User PnL: -$81.99

Japan position

Spread: Japan (-1.5)

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Cameron Boozer be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$265

England position

Spread: England (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$195

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$205

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $499.73
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $0.25
User PnL: $324.74

Yes position

Will Notre Dame win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $473.26
Potential profit: $473.26
User PnL: -$5.18

Yes position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $410.52
Potential profit: $410.52
User PnL: -$138.6

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.28
Potential profit: $401.28
User PnL: -$250

Spurs position

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$244

Yes position

Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$178

Timberwolves position

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$204

Pistons position

Cavaliers vs. Pistons

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$224

United States position

Spread: United States (-1.5)

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trent Williams be traded?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $297.75
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$30.75

Netherlands position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$183

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.33

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402

Under position

Spurs vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $395

Yes position

Will AJ Brown be traded?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.2

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300.03

Argentina position

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $295

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.59

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Kings

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $277.5

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

Celtics position

Hornets vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.5

Yes position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231

Thunder position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.99

Warriors position

Heat vs. Warriors

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.6

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.01

Yes position

Will Fernando Mendoza win the Heisman Trophy?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $220.96

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $213

Knicks position

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $206.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: England (-1.5)

England 18% 300 shares
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

26.9% 363.75 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance

14% 1,040.26 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?

No 35% 83 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?

46.9% 420.13 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

71.5% 554.43 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5

55.8% 883.86 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance AND Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance AND Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance AND Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

6% 1,608.91 shares
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-1.5) AND Spread: Egypt (-1.5)

24.4% 401.07 shares
Spread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?

32.8% 448.26 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 41.5% 200 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

Yes 41.5% 200 shares