Polymarket Trader

polinuss

0xd63a431f40001ba5df31ef53ea1685185b8d90a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $131.46
Realized PnL: $469.9
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.9
Potential profit: $299.9
User PnL: -$202.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.63
Potential profit: $263.63
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.66
Potential profit: $132.66
User PnL: -$122.22

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $220 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$119.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $88.67
Potential payout: $88.8
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.7
Potential profit: $68.7
User PnL: -$59.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $39.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.76
Potential profit: $39.76
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.42
Potential profit: $33.42
User PnL: -$4.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$3.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.12
Potential profit: $32.12
User PnL: -$19.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $27
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$11.6

Chongqing Tonglianglong FC position

Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.82
Potential profit: $16.82
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.92
Potential profit: $15.92
User PnL: -$6.85

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $3.1
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $12.05
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $12
Potential profit: $11.7
Multiplier: 40.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.92
Potential profit: $7.92
User PnL: -$1.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.17

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 22?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.07

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $295 on May 20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.65

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.65

Yes position

Will Meta (META) close above $600 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.27

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Yes position

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.44

Yes position

Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.82

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $290 on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.5

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $410 on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

No position

Will Weibo (WB) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.15

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 on April 23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.57

Yes position

Will Apple (AAPL) close above $285 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

Yes position

Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.88

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $400 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.76

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

Yes position

Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 30?

Yes 97.5% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?

No 8.2% 12 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 30?

No 99.9% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 30?

No 96% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 30?

Yes 90% 88.8 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?

Yes 96% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 29?

Yes 97.8% 14.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 26?

Yes 5% 27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?

No 99% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?

No 97.5% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 24?

Yes 61% 27 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?

Yes 97% 92 shares