DennisZT

Implied probability: 28.3%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $13.34
Potential profit: $9.56
Multiplier: 3.53x
User PnL: -$0.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.23
Potential profit: $13.23
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Ends Sep 23, 2028

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $9.28
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $8.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.65
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$0.65

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $4.15
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.85
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.25

Up position

Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $1.88
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.81
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.7%
Current value: $1.97
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.72
Multiplier: 3.90x
User PnL: $0.06

Belgium position

Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $6.09
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $5.45
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.04

Over position

Sabah FK vs. The New Saints FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $7.14
User PnL: -$2

No position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.9
Potential profit: $6.9
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $6.52
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $5.07
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Ethereum above 1,730 on July 8, 11AM ET?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $5.88
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $5.71
Potential profit: $3.68
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $2.15
Potential payout: $5.17
Potential profit: $3.02
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.65

Nikita Krylov position

UFC 329: Robert Whittaker vs. Nikita Krylov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.74

L1ga Team position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Trump praise Cristiano Ronaldo by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

LYON position

Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

summer bear position

Dota 2: Team Syntax vs summer bear - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.3

Yes position

Grok 4.4 released by July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Los Angeles Sparks position

Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Droguet position

Set 2 Winner: Droguet vs Erhard

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Alex de Minaur position

Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Rebeka Masarova position

Contrexeville: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarova

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Matej Dodig position

Trieste: Sumit Nagal vs Matej Dodig

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $0.24

Emilien Demanet position

Liege: Maxime Chazal vs Emilien Demanet

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Julia Grabher position

Contrexeville: Julia Grabher vs Rebeka Masarova

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Washington Nationals position

Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 9?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.05

Linda Noskova position

Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskova

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 9?

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?