No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.92K
- Potential profit
- $13.92K
- User PnL
- -$204.62
Polymarket Trader
1niu
0xd6474d1dfe9e71efcaed8627bfd7ddb1779dafaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $143.07
- Realized PnL
- $180.91
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $703.44
- Potential profit
- $703.44
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268.52
- Potential profit
- $268.52
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.05
- Potential profit
- $219.05
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.34
- Potential profit
- $142.34
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.4%
- Current value
- $99.07
- Potential payout
- $109.65
- Potential profit
- $10.58
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.67
- Potential profit
- $63.67
- User PnL
- -$5.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.24
- Potential profit
- $59.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Bianca Andreescu position
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$18.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $42.23
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $6.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $49.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $24.68
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $23.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.09
- Potential profit
- $21.09
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.95
- Potential profit
- $16.95
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $0.82
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $13.89
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.88
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.32
Diallo/Hurkacz position
Libema Open (Doubles): Diallo/Hurkacz vs Bhambri/Venus
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Laura Samson position
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.09
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.94
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.89
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.17
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 91.2% 109.65 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?Yes 68.1% 49.99 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETDown 50% 80 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown 50% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown 50% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETDown 50% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?Yes 16.9% 59.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?Yes 7% 142.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 17?Yes 38% 43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?Yes 21.3% 60 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?Yes 50.4% 38 shares