Polymarket Trader

maragam

0xd64cb4f2d0ce3d07c7e405d243b70808f37fa98f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.34
Realized PnL: $130.67
Win rate: 79.2%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $2.87
Potential payout: $73.57
Potential profit: $70.7
Multiplier: 25.64x
User PnL: -$7.13

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.35
Potential profit: $44.35
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $16.95
Potential profit: $15.9
Multiplier: 16.13x
User PnL: -$8.95

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $15.43
Potential profit: $5.02
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.42

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.42
Potential profit: $9.42
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.67
Potential profit: $7.67
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.86

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.03

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.09

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?

Yes 64.8% 15.43 shares
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?

No 65% 23.08 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?

No 78.7% 12.82 shares
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?

No 77% 13.43 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 44% 11.36 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 66% 6.06 shares
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 53.1% 9.42 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 65.2% 7.67 shares
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 0.2% 3,000 shares
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

No 52% 19.23 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Down 80% 6.25 shares
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Yes 80% 6.25 shares