No position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $67.8
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.08K
- Multiplier
- 16.95x
- User PnL
- -$272.19
Polymarket Trader
Artiecasas
0xd64e5ed1aece81ffc0e9d91e2ce74759529a07ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $818.7
- Realized PnL
- -$420.78
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $388.16
- Potential payout
- $412.49
- Potential profit
- $24.34
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $42.01
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $208.58
- Potential payout
- $245.39
- Potential profit
- $36.81
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $8.58
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $100.77
- Potential payout
- $102.67
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $22.46
- Potential payout
- $52.23
- Potential profit
- $29.77
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$16.95
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $34.59
- Potential profit
- $34.53
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$12.73
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $30.86
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $3.62
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $20.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Trump deploys active duty troops to Minnesota by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56
- Potential profit
- $2.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.41
- Potential profit
- $1.41
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.24
No position
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Ryanair say "Elon" or "Musk" during earnings call?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
Yes position
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Apple release AirTag 2 by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$8.21
Yes position
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$68.41
Yes position
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$405.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?Yes 5% 208.65 shares
- Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?Yes 34% 84.85 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes 4.3% 669.61 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes 66.1% 627.06 shares
- Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?Yes 47% 42.55 shares
- Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No 68% 29.41 shares
- Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 71% 1.41 shares
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes 76% 6.58 shares
- Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?Yes 62.3% 96.27 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 87% 114.94 shares
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Yes 82.7% 297.55 shares