No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $13
Polymarket Trader
0xd655...58a8
0xd655e46300dfd2a6370233907c1a24a62c3958a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $122.09
- Realized PnL
- -$25.55
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $38
- Potential payout
- $38
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $15.96
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $33
- Potential profit
- $30.86
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $1.19
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $11.74
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $8.69
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $3.4
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $9.36
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $7.52
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $1.4
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.6
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.6%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $4.19
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $6.36
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.64
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.14
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$8.01
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$14.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 8 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 96.6% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.6% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 8 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 91.6% 10 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 27% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.1% 6 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 21% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 20.9% 10 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 51.5% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 39% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.8% 15 shares