Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $1.9K
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $534.79
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- -$19.91
Polymarket Trader
Renegade83
0xd658c1a9451e9ca78f8893e27771223e116d2525
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.88K
- Realized PnL
- $1.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $315
- Potential payout
- $600.01
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$51
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $325.85
- Potential payout
- $399.87
- Potential profit
- $74.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82%
- Current value
- $171.43
- Potential payout
- $209.06
- Potential profit
- $37.63
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $8.36
No position
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $89.51
- Potential payout
- $104.69
- Potential profit
- $15.18
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $78.31
- Potential payout
- $93.79
- Potential profit
- $15.47
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $615.71
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $523.69
No position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $102.7
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.21
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.34
Yes position
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.6
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.53
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.56
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.48
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.55
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.43
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $19.57
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Multiplier
- 12.66x
- User PnL
- $15.14
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $11.7
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.65
Yes position
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Multiplier
- 5.00x
- User PnL
- $7.13
Czechia position
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechia
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $5.89
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No 85% 100 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.6% 600 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 93% 500 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.6% 700 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?No 93% 525.47 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 66% 70 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 66% 230 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.2% 370 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 81.1% 249.99 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 82.2% 70 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No 97.8% 42.45 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 82% 90 shares