Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Current value
- $44.53
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$5.47
Polymarket Trader
0xd677672c3995D47918D8Ec013aBCA5138841a495-1767614121842
0xd677672c3995d47918d8ec013abca5138841a495
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.14K
- Realized PnL
- $12.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $166.39
- Potential payout
- $759.78
- Potential profit
- $593.39
- Multiplier
- 4.57x
- User PnL
- -$93.56
No position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Current value
- $54.15
- Potential payout
- $676.84
- Potential profit
- $622.69
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $576.67
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $456.77
- Potential payout
- $662.46
- Potential profit
- $205.69
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$43.23
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $478.9
- Potential payout
- $502.78
- Potential profit
- $23.88
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $99.9
No position
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $223.3
- Potential payout
- $363.08
- Potential profit
- $139.79
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$6.7
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $157.19
- Potential payout
- $349.31
- Potential profit
- $192.12
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $33.19
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $231.89
- Potential payout
- $348.71
- Potential profit
- $116.82
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$18.11
No position
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $198.67
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $68
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$1.33
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $194.67
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$5.33
Y
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $18.59
- Potential payout
- $265.63
- Potential profit
- $247.03
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$66.41
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $197.44
- Potential payout
- $256.41
- Potential profit
- $58.97
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- -$2.56
No position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $90.22
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $127.17
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.78
Y
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $29.13
- Potential payout
- $187.92
- Potential profit
- $158.79
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$50.87
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $43.38
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $103.68
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$6.62
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $102.04
- Potential payout
- $125.21
- Potential profit
- $23.18
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.03
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $84.85
- Potential payout
- $123.96
- Potential profit
- $39.11
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $34.85
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $24.3
- Potential payout
- $117.38
- Potential profit
- $93.08
- Multiplier
- 4.83x
- User PnL
- -$24.7
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $56.81
- Potential payout
- $115.94
- Potential profit
- $59.13
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$23.19
No position
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $98.89
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $12.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.11
No position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $93.04
- Potential payout
- $108.81
- Potential profit
- $15.78
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$6.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53K
No position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874.42
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $844.88
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $597.04
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $591.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $396.23
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.77
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $257.1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 19, 2026?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.32
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $218.18
No position
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.05
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.57
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.81
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $183.82
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.19
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.55
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.57
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.97
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $139.58
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by August 31, 2026?No 7.4% 676.84 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No 34% 147.06 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?No 46% 217.39 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 75% 266.67 shares
- Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?No 79.9% 125.21 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 71.7% 348.71 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No 75% 133.33 shares
- Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?No 78% 128.21 shares
- Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No 69.8% 143.26 shares
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?No 90% 111.11 shares
- Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in June?No 91.9% 108.81 shares