No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $9.25K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $755.01
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $263.06
Polymarket Trader
Marco-Rubio
0xd67ba35aef659c872377a5ac2becb7ada7f85780
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.86K
- Realized PnL
- $51.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.41
- Potential payout
- $6.83K
- Potential profit
- $6.82K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.85
Yes position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $5.59K
- Potential payout
- $5.74K
- Potential profit
- $149.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $883.56
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $375
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $495
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $4.27K
- Potential payout
- $4.5K
- Potential profit
- $227.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $223.8
Y
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $33.46
- Potential payout
- $4.18K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$23.37
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $3.35K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $154
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $172.27
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $472.46
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $129.1
No position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $448.34
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$37.34
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $435.32
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $325
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.18K
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$988
Yes position
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$22.5
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $1.98K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $336.35
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $70.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $3
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9%
- Current value
- $173.22
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- Multiplier
- 11.17x
- User PnL
- $78.55
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $1.64K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.45
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.1%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $270.68
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.86
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $341.67
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $743
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$62.23
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $996.51
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- User PnL
- $161.61
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $955
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $45
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $85
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $984.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $15.5
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $154.5
Yes position
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $10.61
- Potential payout
- $964.9
- Potential profit
- $954.29
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$52.89
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $64.45
- Potential payout
- $678.43
- Potential profit
- $613.98
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$16.96
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Current value
- $70.75
- Potential payout
- $446.39
- Potential profit
- $375.64
- Multiplier
- 6.31x
- User PnL
- $24.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57K
No position
US strikes Iraq by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.43K
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.97K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73K
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $1.53K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.45K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 81.5% 26.48 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 12.1% 204.42 shares
- Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 11.8% 564.86 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 14% 669.48 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 84.4% 2,637.27 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 12% 308.25 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes 12% 2,222 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 2.4% 888 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes 1.1% 3,295 shares
- Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 5% 959 shares
- Will Trump shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?Yes 4.8% 1,541.31 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 16% 1,793.07 shares