Polymarket Trader

USA-LaoLuan

0xd69792135c13c187bf1d1dd65235e8121bb3def2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $339.78
Realized PnL: $4.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pump.fun >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.44K
Potential profit: $1.44K
User PnL: -$350.45

Yes position

Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $339.78
Potential payout: $596.22
Potential profit: $256.43
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $83.78

Yes position

Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $454.55
Potential profit: $454.55
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.21
Potential profit: $312.21
User PnL: -$99.9

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$225

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.21
Potential profit: $288.21
User PnL: -$152.75

No position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $267.86
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.58
Potential profit: $257.58
User PnL: -$30

Top Esports position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$50

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $232.56
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.5
Potential profit: $222.5
User PnL: -$13.35

Yes position

Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Sweden?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$10

No position

Spain leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Haiti leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $204.08
Potential profit: $204.08
User PnL: -$10

Over position

United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$126

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.93

Yes position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $483.69

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $451.74

No position

Is $DJT real?

Ends Jun 21, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $448.8

No position

Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?

Ends Oct 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $421.24

No position

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $366.12

No position

Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days?

Ends Dec 2, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday?

Ends Oct 20, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.27

No position

Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $174.2

Yes position

Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.07

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.46

No position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?

Ends Jun 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.83

No position

Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.28

Yes position

$JTO above $2 one week after launch?

Ends Dec 15, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.25

Yes position

Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95

Yes position

Will Iran President Raisi be found today?

Ends May 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.19

Yes position

Pump.fun market cap (FDV) $4-6B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.66

Yes position

Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.44

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.61

No position

Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.65

No position

Germany leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.72

No position

Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Yes 44% 13.64 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Yes 43.1% 115.91 shares
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Yes 42.9% 466.67 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 11% 200 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 25% 200 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Spread: France (-2.5)

France 67% 10 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?

No 57% 175.44 shares
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

IR Iran 56% 178.57 shares
Spain leading at halftime?

No 4.6% 217.39 shares
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?

Yes 48% 425 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: Tunisia O/U 0.5

Over 42% 192.3 shares