Polymarket Trader

ebebeb

0xd69df56ba19683ab3154ed7148bed8c766d0fd60

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $299.76
Realized PnL: $99.92
Win rate: 61.1%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $20.18
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $336.96
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.8%
Current value: $18.49
Potential payout: $273.97
Potential profit: $255.48
Multiplier: 14.81x
User PnL: -$1.51

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $11.74
Potential payout: $232.56
Potential profit: $220.81
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$8.26

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $17.87
Potential payout: $129.03
Potential profit: $111.16
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$2.13

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $1.58
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $25

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $106.47
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $11.18
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $6.47

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Yes position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.57

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 27?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.08

Under position

FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.87

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.81

No position

ChatGPT Outage by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.56

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Yes position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$26.59

No position

Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$37.64

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$71.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 59% 16.95 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5

Over 80% 125 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 79% 126.58 shares
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 40% 125 shares
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Yes 99% 129.87 shares
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5

Under 84.1% 118.87 shares
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score

Yes 77% 129.87 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 131.58 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 83% 120.48 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 4% 336.13 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 72% 138.89 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?

Yes 11.9% 336.13 shares