Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $121.94
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Polymarket Trader
0xd6a7...c3d0
0xd6a718a4184a1f211aa0d3a1788116d4ceb3c3d0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $29.16
- Realized PnL
- $45.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $26.71
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.1%
- Current value
- $11.34
- Potential payout
- $27.62
- Potential profit
- $16.28
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- $6.34
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $16.64
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Current value
- $2.38
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $0.38
N
No position
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $2.78
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Y
Yes position
Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $2.03
- Potential payout
- $2.06
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.91
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $5.55
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Moscow air traffic suspended by July 31?Yes 70% 2.86 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes 11% 18.18 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No 21% 9.52 shares
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 44% 4.55 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 7.2% 27.78 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 93% 2.15 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 97.2% 2.06 shares
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes 1.6% 125 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 21.1% 50 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 14.24 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes 23% 13.04 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes 16.4% 18.96 shares