No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $117.59
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $67.59
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $17.59
Polymarket Trader
dylanatexe
0xd6aa82b192945b8caf09286fc3f0836e6d0eaf95
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $176.99
- Realized PnL
- $224.36
- Win rate
- 94.4%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.53
- Potential profit
- $121.53
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $14.03
- Potential payout
- $96.77
- Potential profit
- $82.74
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$15.97
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.73
- Potential profit
- $31.73
- User PnL
- -$4.88
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $30.79
- Potential payout
- $30.99
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $14.57
- Potential payout
- $14.67
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $3.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.14
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.5
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.98
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.31
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.39
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.86
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.2
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.33
Yes position
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.32
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 6.2% 27.02 shares
- Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No 85.4% 140.94 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 18% 27.78 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?No 75% 33.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 54% 185.19 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 69.4% 144.14 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?No 16% 93.75 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes 53% 28.3 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 32.26 shares
- Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 37% 27.03 shares
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No 23% 43.48 shares