Polymarket Trader

0xd6B301f0B57655ED729C7E39559ce13Dc476cBB7-1766525740585

0xd6b301f0b57655ed729c7e39559ce13dc476cbb7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.86
Realized PnL: $3.95
Win rate: 31.6%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Another US military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $12.66
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $2.13
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.45

Rafael Jodar position

Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $2.96
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $2.94
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.54

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.24

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.26

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.99

No position

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.21

Yes position

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Trump sue Powell by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.74

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 56% and 57%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 56%?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.87

No position

Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.99

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar 67% 1.48 shares
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar 67% 1.48 shares
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?

Yes 3.5% 13.88 shares
US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?

Yes 7.2% 13.89 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 53% 4.13 shares
US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Yes 40% 2.5 shares
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Yes 34% 2.94 shares
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?

No 80% 2.94 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 4.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Yes 25% 4.8 shares
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?

No 0.2% 3.21 shares