Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18.65K
- Potential payout
- $18.66K
- Potential profit
- $9.33
- User PnL
- $5.66K
Polymarket Trader
sciuboi
0xd6b6f6924341b00626e603240f799644d4b6342b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $39.48K
- Realized PnL
- $397.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.8%
- Current value
- $2.85K
- Potential payout
- $16.97K
- Potential profit
- $14.12K
- Multiplier
- 5.95x
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $12.85K
- Potential payout
- $13.89K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $88.14
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.43K
- Potential profit
- $13.43K
- User PnL
- -$1.3K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $10.19K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$9.25K
Yes position
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.37K
- Potential profit
- $6.37K
- User PnL
- -$82.79
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $508.43
- Potential payout
- $4.66K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- Multiplier
- 9.17x
- User PnL
- -$517.72
No position
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.2%
- Current value
- $2.37K
- Potential payout
- $3.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.6%
- Current value
- $784.27
- Potential payout
- $3.19K
- Potential profit
- $2.41K
- Multiplier
- 4.07x
- User PnL
- -$312.57
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.45K
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $485.27
Yes position
Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$72.88
Yes position
Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$72.88
Yes position
Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$72.88
Yes position
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$72.88
Yes position
Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$73.92
Yes position
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$72.88
Yes position
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$72.88
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$220
Over position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$915
Yes position
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Yes position
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Yes position
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Yes position
Will Pedro Passos Coelho win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Yes position
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$21.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.87K
Yes position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.46K
Yes position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.3K
Yes position
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.03K
Yes position
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.02K
Yes position
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.29K
No position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.93K
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.54K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.71K
Yes position
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $7.63K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.14K
No position
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47K
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.66K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
Yes position
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.06K
No position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03K
Yes position
Will PSD win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.92K
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Yes position
Will another pairing advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff?
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22K
Yes position
Will Anca Alexandrescu finish second in the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.08K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 80% 452.26 shares
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 77.1% 57.5 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 20% 73.05 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 28.7% 521.51 shares
- Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over 93% 500 shares
- Will Cătălin Drulă be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.2% 222 shares
- Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.2% 222 shares
- Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 222 shares
- Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 222 shares
- Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 222 shares
- Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 222 shares
- Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 0.1% 222 shares