No position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $737.7
- Potential payout
- $990.2
- Potential profit
- $252.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$38.3
Polymarket Trader
Spiro1
0xd6c31d67275fd84ef79c9b407f3989c25835de2e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $737.7
- Realized PnL
- $152.85
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.01
- Potential profit
- $154.01
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $270.58
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.56
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.31
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$3.07
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$126.36
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$204.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?No 78.4% 990.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No 64.9% 154.01 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 83% 125.83 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 75% 542.33 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 33% 1,231.8 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 49.6% 1,231.8 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 76% 803.83 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No 70.8% 803.84 shares
- Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No 75% 469.92 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 21.9% 1,612.31 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 29.9% 420.47 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No 82% 153.32 shares