Polymarket Trader

juisloa

0xd6ddc6559313bcc819f1df1b3647f3930da998ee

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.71K
Realized PnL: $41.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $239.17
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.33K
Multiplier: 14.93x
User PnL: -$78.09

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $3.35K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $214.14
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $102.09

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.3K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $1.65
User PnL: $93.74

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$90.97

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
User PnL: -$386.37

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $3.03K
Potential profit: $1.53K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $548.15

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $1.44K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$462.44

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.65K
Potential profit: $317.68
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $417.63

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $579.73
Potential payout: $2.58K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$61.04

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $615.14
Potential payout: $2.38K
Potential profit: $1.76K
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: -$1.36K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $518.96
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $1.95K
Potential payout: $2.19K
Potential profit: $241.08
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $701.42
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$651.49

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $917.25
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $935.78
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $10

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $861.61
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $991.32
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $10.49

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.39K
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $426.5
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $619.61

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $79.62
Potential payout: $1.79K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$359.1

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $229.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $979.29

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $643.87
Potential payout: $1.57K
Potential profit: $926.55
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$443.23

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $1.24K
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $57.52
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $172.33

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $143.81
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$128.6

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $69.02
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $211.66

No position

Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $296.96
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $763.61
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$373.77

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: June

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $57.99
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $996.36
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$68.14

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43K

No position

Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.3K

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78K

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

No position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: Betera Esports vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.3K

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

No position

Iran strike on US military by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Will the fight end in Round 6?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 23% 300 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 501.22 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 24.6% 355 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 0.1% 2,798.33 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 99.8% 2,803.48 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 0.1% 499.9 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?

Yes 29.8% 55 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

No 70% 75.36 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

No 70% 185 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 27.2% 67.67 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?

Yes 28.9% 300 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

No 70% 300 shares