pumpernikkel

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.17K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $719.06
Potential profit: $718.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.8
Potential profit: $299.8
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $280.38
Potential profit: $280.38
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $269.47
Potential profit: $269.34
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256
Potential profit: $256
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $248.99
Potential profit: $248.87
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.11
Potential profit: $245.11
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.9
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $194.58
Potential profit: $194.48
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $148.4
Potential profit: $148.33
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$15.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C or higher on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.7
Potential profit: $143.7
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.68
Potential profit: $140.68
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $100.11
Potential profit: $99.51
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.65
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $8.76
Potential payout: $92.16
Potential profit: $83.4
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$5.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $91.97
Potential profit: $91.93
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $86.99
Potential profit: $82.65
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or higher on June 20?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $84.5
Potential profit: $84.29
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $64.9
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 19?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $62.28
Potential profit: $62.16
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$10.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $298.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.51

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $85.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 12?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 9?