Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $743.7
- Potential profit
- $743.7
- User PnL
- -$17.75
Polymarket Trader
0xd6f3...9418
0xd6f3afd3bb335921eb299b9b630a4f52c4dd9418
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $882.74
- Realized PnL
- -$16.24
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Minnesota Twins position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450.01
- Potential profit
- $450.01
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$40.5
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $450
- User PnL
- -$31.5
Yes position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $445.91
- Potential profit
- $445.91
- User PnL
- -$9.81
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $85.76
- Potential payout
- $336.33
- Potential profit
- $250.57
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$164.82
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $242.11
- Potential profit
- $242.11
- User PnL
- -$45.5
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.52
- Potential profit
- $236.52
- User PnL
- -$48.96
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.51
- Potential profit
- $236.51
- User PnL
- -$10.17
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $233.93
- Potential payout
- $233.93
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $214.28
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.34
- Potential profit
- $223.34
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $179.77
- Potential profit
- $179.77
- User PnL
- -$8.51
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $150
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $47.5
Yes position
Austin Reaves: Points O/U 21.5
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $139.44
- Potential profit
- $139.44
- User PnL
- -$59.96
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $58.35
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $99.07
- Potential payout
- $99.07
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.64
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $60
- Potential payout
- $80.54
- Potential profit
- $20.54
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $35.51
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $79.83
- Potential payout
- $79.83
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $33.78
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $74.15
- Potential payout
- $79.3
- Potential profit
- $5.15
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.38
San Diego Padres position
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63.96
- Potential profit
- $63.96
- User PnL
- -$23.02
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$26.23
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$45.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Toronto Blue Jays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Xiyu Wang position
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercog
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yunchaokete Bu position
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Coleman Wong
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
St. Louis Cardinals position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Tampa Bay Rays position
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Rockets position
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Coleman Wong position
Jiujiang: Yunchaokete Bu vs Coleman Wong
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Chirayu Rana sued?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Atlanta Braves position
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.66
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Washington Nationals position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Houston Astros position
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 30% 11.37 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes 30% 15.62 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 40% 25 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.5% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 11% 45.45 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 66% 22.73 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 42% 23.81 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No 59% 16.95 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 6% 50 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 2.5% 50 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 11% 45.45 shares