No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.03
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
Mikey198
0xd6fa2f8784003c8a2b33352e9d26c016306eaee1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.89
- Realized PnL
- -$14.37
- Win rate
- 54.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.67
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $1.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.72
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ukraine" 3 or more times during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will Trump say "pardon" during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again by Sunday?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times during NBC interview?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
South Korean President impeached in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will South Korean President lift martial law today?
Ends Dec 3, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Yoon arrested by January 31?Yes 60% 1.67 shares
- Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?No 90% 0.56 shares
- Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?No 87% 0.8 shares
- Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?No 97.2% 0.51 shares
- Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes 41% 1.22 shares
- Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?Yes 27% 1.85 shares
- Will Gold close at $2,700-2,800 at the end of 2024?No 91% 0.22 shares
- Will Gold close at $2,500-2,600 at the end of 2024?Yes 36.7% 0.82 shares
- Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No 55% 0.9 shares
- Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes 30.9% 1.78 shares
- Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?Yes 27% 1.85 shares