Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.49
- Potential payout
- $8.83
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Polymarket Trader
belindarogers
0xd70ccd1e507c9ab5e42b2b8a46cc41acca16ff73
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.13
- Realized PnL
- $24.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $5.37
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.89
No position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.73
- Potential payout
- $4.73
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.69
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $3.95
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $0.61
- Potential payout
- $3.06
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $2.55
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $1.91
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.69
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $1.67
- User PnL
- -$1.1
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $1.21
- Potential payout
- $1.53
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.4
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $1.25
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1.23
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.2
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $0.64
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $1.13
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.51
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.08
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Yes position
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 66% 1.67 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes 71% 1.45 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 61% 2.07 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 68% 1.88 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes 58% 1.76 shares
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No 89% 1.25 shares
- Nancy Guthrie kidnapper arrested by February 28?Yes 33% 3.15 shares
- Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?Yes 4.2% 5.73 shares
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 99.8% 1.27 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 12% 8.83 shares
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes 85% 1.27 shares
- Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?Yes 19% 5.74 shares