Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $61.61
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$62.83
Polymarket Trader
sunjiahao
0xd70e6b8c6e3483300275bf743a9cc59bc8400ac1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $639.08
- Realized PnL
- $1.83K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48%
- Current value
- $336.61
- Potential payout
- $702
- Potential profit
- $365.39
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- -$97.93
Yes position
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67.9%
- Current value
- $236.97
- Potential payout
- $349
- Potential profit
- $112.03
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$32.46
Yes position
Epic Games IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $19.81
- Multiplier
- 10.05x
- User PnL
- -$5.95
No position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 29 be less than 6,000?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $647.05
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.56
Over position
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.27
Yes position
Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.43
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $132.43
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.31
Yes position
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?
Ends Jan 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.4
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.96
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.32
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $37.31
No position
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.95
No position
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.64
No position
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $25.56
Yes position
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.6
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.46
No position
Will Asa Buck be the Republican Nominee for NC-01?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.14
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $13.72
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.6
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $9.7
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.35
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 84%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No 65% 21 shares
- Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?No 69% 130 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 61.9% 702 shares
- Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 85% 25 shares
- Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?No 82% 25 shares
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 12% 13 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?No 67% 199 shares
- Will Iran strike Oman again in March?No 78% 199 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 31 shares
- Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?No 74% 175 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 62% 110 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 62% 149 shares