Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- User PnL
- -$67.68
Polymarket Trader
adrak
@AdrakMusk
0xd71a14b79e9b639120ef7309cecec4e43cc85e5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.32
- Realized PnL
- $1.16K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$430.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $21.17
- Potential payout
- $432
- Potential profit
- $410.83
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- $13.82
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.67
- Potential profit
- $86.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.43
- Potential profit
- $60.43
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.45
- Potential profit
- $57.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.23
- Potential profit
- $38.23
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.67
- Potential profit
- $28.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.92
- Potential profit
- $22.92
- User PnL
- -$3
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.02
- Potential profit
- $22.02
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.14
- Potential profit
- $20.14
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $18.18
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.7
- Potential profit
- $16.7
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.93
- Potential profit
- $15.93
- User PnL
- -$4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $619.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.07
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Green" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.8
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.4
Yes position
Will Ilhan Omar applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.28
Yes position
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.44
No position
Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.91
No position
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's State of the Union?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.18
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.28
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?No 1.7% 432 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 27% 7.41 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETDown 52% 9.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown 10% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown 24% 20.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETDown 41.2% 4.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETDown 40% 5 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETUp 46% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETUp 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETUp 54% 3.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown 26% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETUp 50% 4 shares